Guide

Rates change: build scenarios instead of extending today’s number forever

A single-rate calculation can silently assume that today’s conditions last throughout the goal. Investor.gov includes an assumed-rate range.[1](#source-savx-compound) That supports scenarios, not a return forecast; current offers and regulator rates are not used.

Known terms and assumptions

Separate confirmed contract conditions from estimates. A fixed rate for one placement does not fix the next placement. The revision rule matters as much as the initial number.

Sequential accumulation

Without flows, F = P × (1 + i₁) × … × (1 + iₙ). Do not add rates or use a simple average when income remains invested. With payments, recalculate after each operation because money arriving at different times receives different later factors.

Two fictional paths

For 200,000 roubles, six months at 1% and six at 0.4% gives 200,000 × 1.01⁶ × 1.004⁶ = 217,450.55. Keeping 1% for twelve months gives 225,365.01, a different model. Swapping blocks changes nothing without cash flows, but a mid-term deposit participates only in later rates. Market assets also add repricing and loss risk.

Ranges and errors

Show unchanged terms, a decrease and a different revision date; do not call them probable without probabilities. Do not mix effective annual and monthly rates without conversion, extend promotional periods or capitalize growth twice. Preserve old scenarios after actual conditions change.

Forecast versus recording

Replace planned rates with actual rates while keeping planned contributions, then replace contributions with actual ones. This separates condition variance from personal cash movements. Do not call the whole gap lost income if planned contributions were never made. Record terms from the [conditions comparison card](/guides/comparing-deposit-conditions/) before extending beyond the confirmed contract.

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Educational model; not personal advice and not a statement of current Russian rules.

Source references retained from the reviewed source; formulas, figures, caveats, links and jurisdictional meanings are preserved.

Educational material is not individual investment, legal or tax advice.