Financial term
Glossary A–Z

Power-law distribution

A distribution whose tail over a stated range declines as a power of the threshold.

Definition

In a power-law model, the probability of exceeding a large threshold is proportional to a negative power of that threshold. The lower boundary of applicability and the parameter must be stated. A density, an exceedance probability and the relationship between size and rank have different definitions; their coefficients cannot be transferred mechanically from one to another.[1]

Educational scale check

If, in a specially specified model, the probability of exceeding x is proportional to the inverse square of x, doubling the threshold reduces the probability by a factor of four. This is a property of the formula, not an established law of all financial series.

Limitation

A nearly straight line on a log-scale chart does not select a model by itself. The original observations, threshold, missing values, parameter uncertainty and alternative distributions matter. A small set of the largest companies may poorly represent the tail of the whole population.

A cross-sectional size distribution does not determine the future growth of one company, still less the return on its shares. The distinctions are discussed in [power laws and scaling](/guides/power-laws-scaling/).

Primary material

[1] Gabaix, Power Laws in Economics and Finance; overview of distributions of size and other economic quantities.

[Power Laws in Economics and Finance](https://www.nber.org/papers/w14299)

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General educational definition.

Source reference retained: [1] Gabaix, Power Laws in Economics and Finance; primary material URL retained.

Educational material is not individual investment, legal or tax advice.